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Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion for LKN NWS Office
000
FXUS65 KLKN 282144
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
244 PM PDT Thu Mar 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Active weather with accumulating rain and snow
continues into Sunday as a deep low pressure continues to
influence the western U.S. Upper ridge moves in bringing a brief
period of dry and fair weather the fist half of next week. Strong
cold front and active weather indicated to move into the forecast
area from the northwest in the Wednesday night timeframe.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Friday night

Cold front positioned near White Pine County oriented northeast
to southwest, essentially positioned over the southeast corner of
the forecast area, by this evening. Any lingering post frontal
showers across northern Nevada trend dry with dry conditions
continuing across central Nevada. That said, the front looks to
stall and light valley rain/snow mix and snow, as well as mountain
snow, is expected to persist overnight along and east of US-93 in
N Nye and White Pine Counties. Valley snow totals thru tonight
are expected to be less than an inch, with 1 to 3 inches along the
benches and pass routes, primarily Sacramento Pass, but other
rural routes as well. 3 to 5 inches expected over the Snake Range.
Gusty winds become generally light tonight. Overnight lows reside
mostly in the upper teens to upper 20s.

Stalled frontal boundary resides across southwest Utah with light
snow showers continuing for eastern portions of N Nye and White
Pine Counties Friday morning. Deep upper low that has been
positioned along the coast of the PacNW migrates south Thursday
night and Friday morning. Low positioned along the California
coast by Friday afternoon. Associated warm front moves south to
north from central Nevada, positioned across northern Nevada by
Friday night. This brings the next round of precipitation thru the
forecast area. Valley rain and mountain snow expected with valley
precip type becoming a rain/snow mix and snow overnight. Greatest
accumulations focused across the eastern half of the forecast
area with liquid equivalents between 0.10” and 0.50”. Accumulating
valley snow around an inch or less although greater impacts are
expected along the benches and over the pass routes with 2 to 5
inches throughout the course of Friday and Friday night. An
additional several inches for the mountains. Breezy
south/southeasterly winds with the greatest gusts of 25 to 30 mph
focused across central Nevada.

&&

.LONG TERM...Saturday through next Thursday

Low pressure system situated along the California coast continues
to progress south before moving inland during the Sunday night
time frame. Rain and snow showers continue across the forecast
area Saturday and into Sunday. Probabilities for precipitation
across central and northern Nevada remain 60-80%. Showers begin to
trend dry form north to south Sunday afternoon with mostly dry
conditions across the forecast area Sunday night. Accumulating
valley snow is expected Saturday thru Sunday and snow totals
between the two days generally ranging between 1 and 3 inches.
Some locales will remain under an inch while others trend over
with variability in valley accumulations expected. Breezy and
gusty winds persist given the dynamic weather across the region.
Daytime high temperatures Saturday in the low 40s to low 50s with
overnight lows in the low 20s to low 30s. Daytime highs in the
upper 30s to upper 40s Sunday with overnight lows in the upper
teens to upper 20s.

Monday through Wednesday will see dry and fairer weather as a
tilted upper level ridge moves into the region from the northwest
as the low pressure trof continues east and into the four corners
region. Ridge brings warmer temperatures which will gradually
raise daytime highs starting into the mid 50s to mid 60s by
Wednesday. Afternoon winds remain breezy around 10-15 mph, gusts
20 to 25 mph.

Numerical guidance shows another round of active weather,
including rain, snow and gusty winds, moving in from the northwest
as a strong cold front is indicated to move into the forecast
area in the Wednesday night time frame.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions tonight with winds trending lighter.
-SHRA and -SHRASN begin at KTPH and KELY mid day Friday. VFR
remains the primary flight condition though periods of MVFR or IFR
will be possible under reduced CIGs or VIS. Band of showers moves
from south to north and reaches northern terminals KWMC, KBAM,
and KEKO later in the afternoon, around 02Z or 03Z. Breezy winds
with the strongest gusts of 25KTS to 30KTS present at KTPH and
KELY, slightly lighter at northern terminals.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

92/92/92

NWS LKN Office Area Forecast Discussion


Area Forecast Discussion provided by the National Weather Service.

Elko County Facts

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